Description

This analysis provides a forecast of XTZ prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-10-26 0.447373 0.491331 0.538454 0.592848 0.654051 0.720958 0.799864
2025-11-02 0.378076 0.439609 0.510321 0.598116 0.704919 0.831551 0.994427
2025-11-09 0.329397 0.397406 0.479191 0.585802 0.722589 0.894239 1.129195
2025-11-16 0.301802 0.375179 0.466758 0.591061 0.757882 0.977678 1.295410
2025-11-23 0.276470 0.352230 0.449729 0.586617 0.777466 1.039697 1.437340
2025-11-30 0.258554 0.336702 0.440078 0.589740 0.805834 1.114578 1.604418
2025-12-07 0.239697 0.318011 0.424070 0.581736 0.816443 1.163544 1.737015
2025-12-14 0.223577 0.301637 0.409622 0.574072 0.825859 1.210362 1.870390
2025-12-21 0.205951 0.281792 0.388600 0.554627 0.815018 1.223851 1.949529
2025-12-28 0.198631 0.276090 0.387394 0.564475 0.849944 1.312735 2.166939
2026-01-04 0.191321 0.269818 0.384732 0.571557 0.880627 1.397155 2.387114
2026-01-11 0.183759 0.262621 0.380061 0.574857 0.904984 1.472746 2.600680
2026-01-18 0.176322 0.255293 0.374888 0.577229 0.928497 1.550296 2.831616
2026-01-25 0.170046 0.249374 0.371516 0.582274 0.957067 1.640122 3.101323
2026-02-01 0.160661 0.238027 0.358739 0.570355 0.954093 1.670319 3.250656
2026-02-08 0.155548 0.233137 0.356041 0.575446 0.982372 1.763225 3.550078
2026-02-15 0.148978 0.225526 0.348369 0.571145 0.992524 1.821090 3.779645
2026-02-22 0.144283 0.220693 0.344993 0.574168 1.016747 1.909913 4.096243
2026-03-01 0.137970 0.212862 0.336079 0.566419 1.019100 1.953031 4.308737
2026-03-08 0.132148 0.205565 0.327673 0.558999 1.021382 1.996075 4.528273
2026-03-15 0.124788 0.195345 0.313678 0.540169 0.998870 1.982164 4.596772
2026-03-22 0.122519 0.193677 0.314573 0.549706 1.035814 2.105840 5.058507
2026-03-29 0.119939 0.191339 0.314125 0.556564 1.067653 2.221519 5.521786